Archive for December, 2009

Ctrip’s Earnings Catch Up to Its Valuation

Tuesday, December 15th, 2009

Up until the financial crisis, long-time investors knew not to trust Ctrip’s management when they provided guidance of 25% growth. Inevitably, the company produced earnings and revenue growth well in excess of 25%. In their most recent quarter, Ctrip seems to have resumed their phenomenal growth. For their fiscal third quarter, they produced net revenue growth of 47% on a year-over-year basis. Excluding the impact of the ezTravel acquisition, net revenues grew at a 40% year-over-year rate. Earnings growth was even more impressive, growing 80% on a year-over-year basis to $28 million. (more…)

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ADP’s First Quarter 2010

Monday, December 14th, 2009

ADP continues to hold steady in the current economy based on their first quarter earnings report. Revenues compared to the first quarter of 2009 declined 4% to $2.1 billion. ADP notes that net earnings from continuing operations increased 2% while diluted earnings per share from continuing operations increased 4% from $0.54 to $0.56 per share. (more…)

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Netflix Continues to Impress But Shares Look Expensive

Thursday, December 3rd, 2009

In a recent post, I calculated an intrinsic value for Netflix at $43 per share. This assumed 22% growth this year. In their third quarter, Netflix posted profits that were up 48% year-over-year on a revenue increase of 24%. Gross margins remained relatively constant, but net margins grew largely as a result of less marketing as a percentage of gross profit. (more…)

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